Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.017867 0.019164 0.020510 0.022011 0.023640 0.025355 0.027300
2026-02-01 0.015544 0.017396 0.019412 0.021775 0.024475 0.027470 0.031054
2026-02-08 0.013909 0.016056 0.018478 0.021423 0.024919 0.028955 0.033991
2026-02-15 0.012784 0.015131 0.017854 0.021265 0.025447 0.030435 0.036881
2026-02-22 0.011850 0.014323 0.017263 0.021041 0.025802 0.031644 0.039426
2026-03-01 0.011102 0.013669 0.016788 0.020887 0.026179 0.032843 0.041967
2026-03-08 0.010458 0.013091 0.016352 0.020727 0.026501 0.033945 0.044399
2026-03-15 0.009986 0.012694 0.016108 0.020778 0.027072 0.035366 0.047302
2026-03-22 0.009512 0.012263 0.015788 0.020694 0.027436 0.036505 0.049854
2026-03-29 0.009105 0.011892 0.015521 0.020655 0.027839 0.037695 0.052520
2026-04-05 0.008712 0.011518 0.015225 0.020550 0.028132 0.038725 0.054990
2026-04-12 0.008378 0.011207 0.014993 0.020516 0.028507 0.039876 0.057682
2026-04-19 0.008089 0.010955 0.014847 0.020615 0.029110 0.041429 0.061145
2026-04-26 0.007720 0.010575 0.014505 0.020416 0.029268 0.042338 0.063687
2026-05-03 0.007340 0.010162 0.014095 0.020092 0.029213 0.042911 0.065724
2026-05-10 0.007043 0.009853 0.013817 0.019946 0.029412 0.043870 0.068420
2026-05-17 0.006749 0.009535 0.013512 0.019739 0.029497 0.044645 0.070847
2026-05-24 0.006494 0.009262 0.013258 0.019595 0.029669 0.045556 0.073541
2026-05-31 0.006254 0.009002 0.013011 0.019446 0.029818 0.046428 0.076213
2026-06-07 0.006081 0.008833 0.012895 0.019494 0.030280 0.047828 0.079875
2026-06-14 0.005887 0.008625 0.012707 0.019416 0.030528 0.048878 0.082975
2026-06-21 0.005714 0.008442 0.012550 0.019380 0.030839 0.050042 0.086346
2026-06-28 0.005536 0.008244 0.012362 0.019282 0.031039 0.051019 0.089424